We generalise the impulse response function of Elder (2003) by considering indirect volatility spillovers for a VAR model with multivariate GARCH-in-Mean. The extension is relevant for variables that exhibit direct and indirect volatility spillovers (Tsiaplias and Chua, in press).

This paper derives short-term interest rate volatility forecasts from various interest rate models. While models that specify both GARCH and levels effects are superior in their forecasts accuracy, they systematically under predict interest rate volatility more frequently than simple short rate...