This paper explores the existence of a bounce-back effect in inventory investment using the European Community opinion survey on stocks of finished products in manufacturing. A threshold autoregression allowing for a transitory strong recovery phasis is estimated for French, German and European...

The recent observed decline of business cycle variability suggests that broad macroeconomic risk may have fallen as well. This may in turn have some impact on equity risk premia. We investigate the latent structures in the volatilities of the business cycle and stock market valuations by...

This paper develops two nonlinear cointegration models - a VECM with structural shift and a threshold cointegration model - applied to carbon spot and futures prices. The results extend the previous findings by Chevallier (2010), who studied this topic with a linear VECM. First, in the VECM with...

The assumption of linearity is implicitly accepted in the process which generates a time series condition submitted to a ARIMA. That is why, in this paper, we shall discuss the research of long memory in the processes: the fractional ARIMA models, denoted as ARFIMA, where d and D, the degree of...

The market portfolio efficiency remains controversial. This paper develops a new test of portfolio mean-variance efficiency relying on the realistic assumption that all assets are risky. The test is based on the vertical distance of a portfolio from the efficient frontier. Monte Carlo...

Présente les principaux outils statistiques utilisés par les gestionnaires, illustrés par des QCM et des exercices corrigés : statistique descriptive, probabilités, principales distributions théoriques, induction statistique (échantillonnage et estimation), tests d'hypothèse, ajustement...

We empirically investigate the impact of option listing on the underlying stock efficiency by looking at the volume-volatility relation of underlying stock. We use a time- consistent bivariate VAR (Vector Autoregressive Regression) model that includes time duration between trades. This model...

In this article, tests for globalization and contagion are separated using an ex ante definition of crises, and contagion tests are neutralized with respect to globalization effects. A large database is constructed to study the stability of correlation matrices for four asset classes : equities,...

We empirically investigate the effect of option listing on the underlying stock pricing efficiency by examining the stock price duration dynamic. We use univariate tests and modified Log-ACD models that account for liquidity. Results indicate that option listing neither damages nor improves the...

In this study we set the problem of the probable existence of an additive and multiplicative mixed seasonality. In this context, we show by some simulation that the seasonality correction according to a pure additive or a pure multiplicative scheme leads to biased estimators of the coefficients...