Showing 1 - 10 of 29
We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on non-parametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the study was to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure, and rate adaptation when the parameter is, for example,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706809
We present a dependent Bayesian nonparametric model for the proba- bilistic modelling of species-by-site data, i.e. population data where observations at different sites are classified into distinct species. We use a dependent version of the Griffiths-Engen-McCloskey distribution, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781520
We study the Bayes estimation of an infinite dimensional parameter from a Sobolev smoothness class. We propose a family of sieve priors whose resulting Bayes estimators are adaptive optimal, both in posterior concentration rate and in risk convergence for the inherent distance of the model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073385
We consider finite state space stationary hidden Markov models (HMMs) in the situation where the number of hidden states is unknown. We provide a frequentist asymptotic evaluation of Bayesian analysis methods. Our main result gives posterior concentration rates for the marginal densities, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166349
We consider finite state space stationary hidden Markov models (HMMs) in the situation where the number of hidden states is unknown. We provide a frequentist asymptotic evaluation of Bayesian analysis methods. Our main result gives posterior concentration rates for the marginal densities, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166477
The choice of the summary statistics in Bayesian inference and in particular in ABC algorithms is paramount to produce a valid outcome. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on those statistics for the corresponding Bayes factor to be convergent, namely to asymptotically select the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166507
The issue of using informative priors for estimation of mixtures at multiple time points is examined. Several different informative priors and an independent prior are compared using samples of actual and simulated aerosol particle size distribution (PSD) data. Measurements of aerosol PSDs refer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166528
Empirical Bayes methods are often thought of as a bridge between classical and Bayesian inference. In fact, in the literature the term empirical Bayes is used in quite diverse contexts and with different motivations. In this article, we provide a brief overview of empirical Bayes methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891137
Empirical Bayes procedures are commonly used based on the supposed asymptotic equivalence with fully Bayesian procedures, which, however, has not so far received full theoretical support in terms of uncertainty quantification. In this note, we provide some results on contraction rates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781519
Although there have been a lot of developpements in the recent years on estimation in Bayesian nonparametric models, from a theoretical point view as well as from a methodological point of view, little has been done on Bayesian testing in nonparametric frameworks. In this talk I will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781521