Based on a behavioral equilibrium exchange rate model, this paper examines the determinants of the real effective exchange rate and evaluates the degree of misalignment of a group of currencies since 1980. Within a panel cointegration setting, we estimate the relationship between the exchange...

This paper explores the consequences of introducing a monopolistic competition in a two-sector open economy model. The effects of fiscal and technological shocks are simulated. First, unlike the perfectly competitive framework, the present model is consistent with the saving-investment...

The aim of this paper is to assess the financial integration degree of the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) with the euro area in the prospect of their integration in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). To this end, we test the Feldstein-Horioka regression for a non-stationary...

The paper examines misalignment of the Turkish lira between 1998 and 2011. We first estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate for Turkey, then compute misalignment and finally test for structural breaks in the misalignment series. Through our tests we find three structural regimes. Our results...

The “impossible trinity” refers to the impossibility of the simultaneous presence of a fixed exchange rate regime, uncovered interest parity and the Central Bank?s control over the money supply. I apply this to Krugman?s (1979) balance of payments crisis model, where he argued that there is...

Relying on new cointegration framework with structural breaks in the deterministic trend, this article employs the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate of Renminbi (RMB) and exchange rate misalignment in China from 1994Q1 to 2007Q4....

This paper investigates possible asymmetries in the reaction of export and import prices to changes in the exchange rate for 4 advanced countries between the 1981q1 and2011q2 period. This exercise is conducted using an asymmetric cointegrating autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, with...

Cette etude vise a determiner les causes de la destabilisation des pays du Mercosur ces dernieres annees, a l’origine du flottement des monnaies. A l’aide d’un VAR structurel, nous analysons l’impact d’une politique monetaire restrictive des Etats-Unis, d’une baisse de la confiance...

Cet article fait le point et clarifie le concept et l'utilisation des indices des conditions monetaires (ICM), dont le principe est d'agreger differentes variables monetaires et financieres en un indicateur unique. Si les ICM paraissent pouvoir fournir une information pertinente, celle-ci doit...

EMU has spurred an interest on the effects of monetary unions on regional economic integration. This paper investigates the link between intra-European trade growth and the institutional process of regional integration, of which monetary integration was one step. Special attention is paid to the...