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This paper investigates the relationship between trading volume and price volatility in the crude oil and natural gas futures markets when using high-frequency data. By regressing various realized volatility measures (with/without jumps) on trading volume and trading frequency, our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868743
According to the Rockets and Feathers Hypothesis (RFH), the transmission mechanism of positive and negative changes in the price of crude oil to the price of gasoline is asymmetric. Although there have been many contributions documenting that downstream prices are more reactive to increases than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115916
The increasing importance of renewable energy, especially solar and wind power, has led to new forces in the formation of electricity prices. Hence, this paper introduces an econometric model for the hourly time series of electricity prices of the European Power Exchange (EPEX) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189287
Weather derivatives have become very popular tools in weather risk management in recent years. One of the elements supporting their diffusion has been the increase in volatility observed on many energy markets. Among the several available contracts, Quanto options are now becoming very popular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039550
In the last few years we have observed the deregulation in electricity markets and an increasing interest in price dynamics has been developed especially to consider all stylized facts shown by spot prices. Only few papers have considered the Italian Electricity Spot market since it has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588002
In the context of the liberalized and deregulated electricity markets, price forecasting has become increasingly important for energy company's plans and market strategies. Within the class of the time series models that are used to perform price forecasting, the subclasses of methods based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571719
This paper aims to examine the asymmetric effect of oil price shocks on real economic activity in the U.S. within the context of a nonlinear Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model. By employing simulation methods, we trace the effects of positive and negative oil price shocks on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939436
two indexes are selected using path analysis. Then, univariate and multivariate models (ETS/ARIMA model and Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115873
Accurately modeling and predicting the mean and volatility of electricity prices can be of great importance to value electricity, bid or hedge against the volatility of electricity prices and manage risk. The paper applies various autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models with generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010635963
This study analyzes energy intensity trends and drivers in 40 major economies using the WIOD database, a novel harmonized and consistent dataset of input–output table time series accompanied by environmental satellite data. We use logarithmic mean Divisia index decomposition to (1) attribute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729340