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This paper examines the relationship between oil prices and the US dollar exchange rate using detrended cross-correlation analysis. For a wide set of currencies in the periods before and since the onset of the recent global financial crisis, we characterized the oil price–exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752926
Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868790
Using daily data from January 1999 to December 2011, we examine U.S. stock returns (S&P 500, Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000) based on a wide range of information, including equity VIX volatility, inflation expectations, interest rates, gold prices, and the USD/Euro exchange rate. The focus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039521
problems. In this paper, we focus on modeling and forecasting the long-term price level, since it is the dominant factor in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100087
This paper examines the short-run and long-run dynamic relationship between the U.S. imported crude oil prices and exchange rates. The monthly data of the U.S. crude oil imports from five source countries during January 1996 and December 2009 are examined. Empirical results indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100126
The purpose of this paper is to assess the empirical influence of oil prices on the real effective exchange rate in Romania in a wavelet transform framework. More precisely, we investigate to what extent oil prices impact the real effective exchange rate in an Eastern European transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718777
forecasting performance of econometric models incorporating asymmetric price transmission from crude oil to gasoline. In this … sign and probability forecasts. Finally, we highlight that the forecasting performance of the estimated models is time-varying. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115916
forecasting performance of selected models showing that they perform better when these factors are considered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588002
large number of forecasting models have been designed to forecast crude oil prices' volatility, so far the relative … performance evaluation of competing forecasting models remains an exercise that is unidimensional in nature. To be more specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571716
forecasting accuracy can be improved after adding oil variables to the traditional predictors. The forecasting gains relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208284