Forecasting as a scientific discipline has progressed a lot in the last 40years, with Nobel prizes being awarded for seminal work in the field, most notably to Engle, Granger and Kahneman. Despite these advances, even today we are unable to answer a very simple question, the one that is always...

Seasoned Equity Offers (SEOs) by publicly listed firms generally result in unexpected negative share price returns, being often perceived as a signal of overvalued share prices and information asymmetries. Hence, forecasting the value effect of such announcements is of crucial importance for...