Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This paper studies the consequences of asset bubbles for economies that are vulnerable to persistent stagnation. Stagnation is the result of a shortage of assets that creates an oversupply of savings and puts downward pressure on the level of interest rates. Once the zero lower bound on the...
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potentially nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth. We find that inflation is associated with significantly lower … effects of inflation on economic growth. We also document significant variation in the effect of inflation on growth across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049480
basis, however, we find that the benchmark estimated medium scale DSGE model forecasts inflation and GDP growth very poorly … monetary policy especially inflation deviations should be unpredictable a "wrong" model may also have the same implication. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183366
choose a path for the inflation rate that ends with a non-zero value. Such a property is relevant in a wide range of … youth structure. In this setting, profit flows are discounted more heavily than utility flows and the optimal inflation … long-run inflation rate in models with firm entry and exit and in environments with search and matching frictions in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016683
When Roosevelt abandoned the gold standard in April 1933, he converted government debt from a tax-backed claim to gold to a claim to dollars, opening the door to unbacked fiscal expansion. Roosevelt followed a state-contingent fiscal rule that ran nominal-debt-financed primary deficits until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354637
We review macroeconomic performance over the period since the Global Financial Crisis and the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate reached the effective lower bound....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048774
This paper presents empirical evidence on the effect of banks' financial position on credit growth using a sample of 29 OECD countries. The failure of the exogeneity assumption of explanatory variables is addressed using dynamic panel type instruments. The empirical results show that among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579142
We derive an option-pricing formula from recursive preference and estimate rare disaster probability. The new options-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the stock market when disaster risk dominates, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182396