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Using daily inflation data from the Billion Prices Project [Cavallo and Rigobon (2016)], we show how temporal … private agents and the central bank (the “Fed information effect”). We find that the adverse response of daily inflation to … and an unobserved components model of inflation dynamics. To reconcile how one can obtain a sizable adverse response with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077279
Inflation-indexed securities would appear to be the most direct source of information about inflation expectations and … real interest rates" (Bernanke, 2004). In this paper we study the term structure of real interest rates, expected inflation … and inflation risk premia using data on prices of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) over the period 2000 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108740
strengthen the countercyclical behavior of markups and attenuate the response of inflation to fluctuations in output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024237
properly accounts for asset pricing facts. I find that the Ramsey optimal monetary policy yields an inflation rate above 3 ….5% and inflation volatility close to 1.5%. The same model calibrated to a counterfactually low equity premium implies an … optimal inflation rate close to zero and inflation volatility less than 10 basis points, consistent with much of the existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014250
This paper investigates the effect of the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policy on employment via a bank lending channel. We find that banks with higher mortgage-backed securities holdings issued relatively more loans after the first and third rounds of quantitative easing (QE1 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016375
We consider three ways that a monetary policy framework may employ a range for inflation outcomes: (1) ranges that … acknowledge uncertainty about inflation outcomes (uncertainty ranges), (2) ranges that define the scope for intentional deviations … of inflation from its target (operational ranges), and (3) ranges over which monetary policy will not react to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048772
Most wage-contracting models with rational expectations fail to replicate the persistence in inflation observed in the … data. We argue that coordination problems and multiple equilibria are the keys to explaining inflation persistence. We … thus rational. Based on quarterly U.S. data over the period 1955-2000, we find evidence that inflation is more persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075815
literature, cannot explain the persistence observed in actual inflation. We argue that one of the more prominent alternative … generates inflation persistence, but this is a consequence of their assuming that workers care about the past real wages of … obtains the standard formulation with no inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075824
Recently, the experience of the 1960s—when the U.S. inflation rate rose rapidly and persistently over a comparatively … short period—has been invoked as a cautionary tale for the present. An analysis of this period indicates that the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083464
We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any … paribus unitary relationship between inflation and money growth. Simulations of a New Keynesian model suggest that we should … allowance needed for the phase shift in the relationship between monetary growth rates and inflation. While financial innovation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118439