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Farmer and Nicolò (2018) show that the Farmer Monetary (FM)-model outperforms the three-equation New-Keynesian (NK)-model in post war U.S. data. In this paper, we compare the marginal data density of the FM-model with marginal data densities for determinate and indeterminate versions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181056
We study the term structure of default-free interest rates in a sticky-price model with an occasionally binding effective lower bound (ELB) constraint on interest rates and recursive preferences. The ELB constraint induces state-dependency in the dynamics of term premiums by affecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578779
I study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. The model generates term premia that are on average positive with sizable countercyclical variation that arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254949
The links between real and nominal bond risk premia and macroeconomic dynamics are explored quantitatively in a model with nominal rigidities and monetary policy. The estimated model captures macroeconomic and yield curve properties of the U.S. economy, implying significantly positive real term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210388
higher wages. This increases firms' incentives to post more vacancies, which makes unemployment volatile and sensitive to … aggregate shocks. The model is robust to two major criticisms of existing theories of sluggish wages and volatile unemployment … explains 70% of unemployment volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709249
data. We argue that coordination problems and multiple equilibria are the keys to explaining inflation persistence. We … of equilibria (consistent with a range for the rate of unemployment), where workers want to match the wage set by other … between unemployment rates of 4.7 and 6.5 percent, than outside these bounds, as predicted by our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075815
We investigate the connection between commodity price shocks and unemployment in advanced resource-rich small open … estimates suggest a one basis point decline in the unemployment rate and at its peak a 0.3% increase in unfilled vacancies. We … workers to rise. As a result, unemployment falls, even if employment in the commodity-producing sector is negligible. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709241
small businesses in the United States are one of the drivers explaining the unemployment dynamics during the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031757
Price-setting models with monopolistic competition and costs of changing prices exhibit coordination failure: in …, costless coordination; in practice, since agents will still have incentives to deviate from the benchmark equilibrium …, coordination is likely to require enforcement. We consider an alternative benchmark equilibrium in which coordination is enforced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075823
unemployment remains elevated, and a ?wageless\" phase, in which employment recovers but wages remain depressed Calibrating the … model suggests that the U.S. unemployment rate may need to fall to around 3 percent before labor compensation recovers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121829