We study the influence of systematic probability misestimation on complexfinancial investment decisions on the context of structured financialproducts. Structured products have in recent years become more and morecomplex. We study the question whether this complexity might be a...

Evolutionary nance studies the dynamic interaction of investment strategies in nancialmarkets. This market interaction generates a stochastic wealth dynamics on aheterogenous population of traders through the uctuation of asset prices and theirrandom payos. Asset prices are endogenously...

We consider the modelling of credit migration risk and the pricing of migrationderivatives. To construct a Point-in-Time (PIT) rating migration matrix as the underlyingvalue for derivative pricing we show first that the Affine Markov Chain models isnot sufficient to generate PIT migration...

The recent real estate bubble was fuelled by non-risk adjusted lending policies, low interest rates and complex finance vehicles. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) played a crucial role in the crisis. These vehicles were praised as liquid capital market instruments that allowed mortgage lenders...

Market frictions inhibit perfect replication of property derivatives and dene the property spreadas a price measure in the incomplete real estate market. We identify transaction costs, transactiontime and short sale constraints as the main frictions in this market. Based on these frictions,...

Changing noise levels have a severe impact on house prices and through the leveragein nancing on households wealth. This risk is essential for houses close to airportswith uncertain aircraft regimes. We design and calibrate real options based on aircraftnoise to hedge against noise risk. The...

We introduce a framework for analyzing the interplay between credit risk and collateralmarket risk on loan pricing. To do this, we decompose any loan into an unsecured and asecured part. Further we explicitly consider the recovery process. The framework allows usto develop semi-analytical...

This paper addresses the issue of intergenerational and internationalsharing of longevity and growth risks. Current research on worldwidedemographic changes highlights the importance of longevity risk on financialmarkets and the need to devise optimal hedging vehicles. We present a...