In this paper I shall take the causes, developments and economic consequences of the financial dislocations of the last six months as given and generally understood, having already written extensively on this subject, in a more academic vein in the Journal of International Economics and Economic...

No abstract is available.

No Abstract is Available.

On 28-29 June 2007, the Financial Markets Group organised a conference covering topics under all three themes of its title, 'Cycles, Contagion and Crises', from the perspective of both developed and emerging economies.

Mainstream macro-models have assumed away financial frictions, in particular default. The minimum addition in order to introduce financial intermediaries, money and liquidity into such models is the possibility of default. This, in turn, requires that institutions and price formation mechanisms...

In this paper we assess the performance of the New Keynesian IS Curve for the G7 countries. We find that there is an IS puzzle for both the purely backwardlooking as well as for the forward-looking IS curve. The real interest rate does not have a significantly negative effect on the output gap....

This paper is a copy of the author’s Per Jacobsson Lecture given at the University of Zurich on an occasion hosted by the Bank for International Settlements on Sunday June 27th, 2004. It is reproduced with the kind permission of the Per Jacobsson Foundation.

No abstract is available.

A Monetary Conditions Index (MCI), a weighted average of the short-term real interest rate and the real exchange rate, is a commonly used indicator of aggregate demand conditions. In-sample evidence for the US, the euro area, Japan and the UK suggests that a Financial Conditions Index (FCI),...