This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...

This paper contributes to the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) and excess consumption smoothness debate in the context of fractional integration. We show that the excess consumption smoothness result is a consequence of the quarterly data frequency commonly employed in empirical work. In fact,...

A general procedure for fractional integration and structural breaks at unknown points in time is used, which allows for different orders of integration and deterministic components in each subsample. First, the procedure is extended to the non-linear case, and is showed by means of Monte Carlo...

In this article we propose a new approach that permits us to simultaneously test unit and fractional roots at the long run and the seasonal frequencies. We examine the industrial production indexes in four Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, Colombia and Mexico), using new statistical...

We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...

The sustainability of fiscal deficits has received in recent years increasing attention from economists. Empirical work has concentrated on both the univariate properties of debt and the cointegration properties of public revenues and expenditures. In this paper, we examine if sustainability of...

We propose in this article the use of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new statistic, based on the score principle, is developed to simultaneously test both the order of integration of the seasonal...

This article examines the real convergence hypothesis in 15 OECD countries. For this purpose, we examine the order of integration of the real GDP per capita series in these countries as well as their differences with respect to the US which is used as a benchmark country. We use both parametric...

In this article we test the random walk hypothesis in the Spanish daily stock market prices by means of using fractionally integrated techniques. We use a version of the tests of Robinson (1994) that permit us to test I(d) statistical models. The results show that though fractional degrees of...

In this article we propose a new method for testing nonstationary cycles in financial time series data. In particular, we use a procedure due to Robinson (1994) that permits us to test unit root cycles in raw time series. These tests have several distinguishing features compared with other...