In this paper we present a continuous time dynamical model of heterogeneous agents interacting in a financial market where transactions are cleared by a market maker. The market is composed of fundamentalist, trend following and contrarian agents who process information from the market with...

This paper studies the time-variant interactions among US stocks, emerging market bonds and US low-grade corporate bonds. All of these assets are characterized by a similar average return, but returns are far from being perfectly correlated. Therefore, investing in these different assets...

This paper decomposes the overall market beta of common stocks into four parts reflecting uncertainty related to the long-run dynamics of stock- specific and market-wide cash flows and discount rates. We employ a discrete time version of Merton�s Intertemporal CAPM to test whether these four...

This paper decomposes the overall market beta of common stocks into four parts reflecting uncertainty related to the long-run dynamics of stock- specific and market-wide cash flows and discount rates. We employ a discrete time version of Merton’s Intertemporal CAPM to test whether these four...

We test whether momentum-based strategies remain profitable after considering market frictions induced by trading. Intra-day data are used to estimate alternative measures of proportional (spread) and non- proportional (price impact) trading costs. A cross-sectional model of the relation between...

We propose an approximate static hedging procedure for multivariate derivatives. The hedging portfolio is composed of statically held simple univariate options, optimally weighted minimizing the variance of the difference between the target claim and the approximate replicating portfolio. The...

Credit risk models like Moody’s KMV are now well established in the market and give bond managers reliable estimates of default probabilities for individual firms. Until now it has been hard to relate those probabilities to the actual credit spreads observed on the market for corporate bonds....

Efforts to simulate turbulence in the financial markets include experiments with the logistic equation: x(t)=kappa x(t-1)[1-x(t-1)], with 0 x(t)1 and 0 = kappa 4. Visual investigation of the logistic equation show the various stability and instability regimes for the various value of the...

We consider a generic framework for generating likelihood ratio weighted Monte Carlo simulation paths, where we use one simulation scheme K° (proxy scheme) to generate realizations and then reinterpret them as realizations of another scheme K* (target scheme) by adjusting measure (via...

This paper identifies such fundamental characteristics as the lack of ergodicity, stationarity, and independence, and it identifies the degree of initial persistence of the Chinese stock markets when they were more regulated. The index series are from the Shanghai (SHI) stock market and Shenzhen...