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Recent empirical evidence identifies investment shocks as key driving forces behind business cycle fluctuations … between consumption growth and investment growth, a weak positive unconditional correlation between consumption growth and … short-run contractionary effect a positive investment shock on consumption. Such counterfactual co-movements are typical of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966936
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Spontaneous shifts in output originating within the business sector are an important factor in aggregate fluctuations. This paper develops a simple two-component decomposition of the movement of real GNP. One component is the path that GNP would have followed in order to deliver the volume of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760156
The investment theory, in which the expected return varies cross-sectionally with investment, expected profitability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823391
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We propose an empirical implementation of the consumption-investment problem using the martingale representation … simplifies the investor's task of specifying the investment opportunity set and inherits the computational convenience of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772381
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This paper studies the interaction between capital reallocation and business cycles. Capital reallocation is pro-cyclical and leads to variations in measured aggregate productivity. Using a simulated method of moments approach, different sources of aggregate fluctuations are studied to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071893
Feedback from stock prices to cash flows occurs because information revealed by firms' stock prices influences the actions of competitors. We explore the implications of feedback within a noisy rational expectations setting with incumbent publicly traded firms and privately held new entrants. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076911
probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … of business cycle dynamics, especially sharp downturns in investment and output such as 2008-IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731