In this article we estimate default intensities within the continuous time Jarrow/Turnbull (1995) model from daily observations of German bank bond prices, based on the default-free term structure estimated from the Svensson (1994) model provided by the Deutsche Bundesbank. Cross-sectional and...

This article covers the implicit estimation of the parameters in the Jarrow/Turnbull (1995) default risk model. We demonstrate by means of a simulation analysis that joint estimation of the default intensity and the recovery rate by non-linear least squares is numerically unstable. Therefore, we...

We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1983-2019. We first derive a novel oil futures return news decomposition following Campbell and Shiller (1988) and Campbell (1991). Then, for both stocks and oil, we split unexpected returns into cash flow...