Showing 1 - 10 of 77
We study first- and second-order subjective expectations (beliefs) in strategic decision-making. We elicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738051
We present a striking example of the deconstruction and reconstruction of an anomaly. In line with previous experiments we show in a one-shot setting that the allegedly robust false consensus effect disappears if representative information is readily available. But the effect reappears if a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011049673
Rule learning posits that decision makers, rather than choosing over actions, choose over behavioral rules with different levels of sophistication. Rules are reinforced over time based on their historically observed payoffs in a given game. Past works on rule learning have shown that when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597534
Potential manipulation of prices and convergence to rational expectations equilibrium is studied in a game without … expectations in opposite directions. In equilibrium, period 1 prices reveal the state, so manipulation is unsuccessful. Bears and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117131
In many economic contexts, an elusive variable of interest is the agent's belief about relevant events, e.g. about other agents' behavior. A growing number of surveys and experiments asks participants to state beliefs explicitly but little is known about the causal relation between beliefs and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117133
the consumerʼs payoff expectations: (i) an opportunity for the expert to make a non-binding promise; and (ii) an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011049695
Nabil Al-Najjar (2008) showed how games with countably infinite player sets can be used to approximate games with large finite player sets. Unfortunately, we have found an error in the proof of Al-Najjarʼs Theorem 5. In this correction we discuss the error and offer two slightly weaker versions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011049839
This paper studies the temporal path of subjective probability assessments. A reference-dependent agent who experiences utility from anticipation and from changes in this anticipatory emotion makes utility-maximizing assessments about his likelihood of success in a future lottery. Consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010931203
The concept of rationalizability has been used in the last fifteen years to study stability of equilibria in models with a continuum of agents such as competitive markets, macroeconomic dynamics and currency attacks. However, rationalizability has been formally defined in general settings only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573669
Inspired by the social psychology literature, we study the implications of categorical thinking on decision making in the context of a large normal form game. Every agent has a categorization (partition) of her opponents and can only observe the average behavior in each category. A strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049187