This paper identifies major determinants of mutual fund flows to Hong Kong equities, which is essential for financial regulators and investors to understand potential sources of instability in domestic financial markets. We find that fund flows to global equities outweigh other fund-specific...

This paper assesses whether long-term institutional investors help stabilise or destabilise Hong Kong and international stock markets. We use a novel dataset based on individual funds issued by insurance companies and pension funds worldwide. This allows us to examine each economic region in...

This paper evaluates the financial spillovers between the US and emerging market economies (EMEs) using the methodology advocated by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). Based on (i) cross-asset returns of sovereign bond, equity, and foreign exchange, and (ii) 27 individual long-term sovereign bond...

Periodically a major financial innovation creates a new product class that changes the financial landscape. Examples include junk bonds that enabled leveraged buyouts, securitization that stimulated off balance sheet growth in banks, and credit default swaps that offered pure trading in credit...

The study examines the predictability of 48 sovereign bond markets based on a strategy of 27,000 technical trading rules. These rules represent four popular trading rule classes, they are: moving average, filtering, support and resistance, and channel breakout rules, with numerous variants in...

This study assesses the ‘safehavenness' of a number of currencies with a view to providing a better understanding of how capital flows tend to react to sharp increases in global risk aversion during periods of financial crisis. It focuses on how currencies are perceived by dollar-based...

This paper employs a panel logistic regression to evaluate the role of global and domestic risk factors in explaining sovereign tail risk for 18 emerging economies (EMEs). Sovereign tail risk is defined as the likelihood of a sharp rise in sovereign credit risk. We find that both global and...

This paper examines the potential impact of US monetary normalisation on sovereign bond yields in Asia Pacific. We apply the quantile vector autoregressive model with principal component analysis to the assessment of tail risk of sovereign debt, which may not be detectable using traditional...

This paper investigates how a rise in US long-term interest rates would have an effect on other international markets. We document that a significant portion of long-term interest rates is due to term premium, which can be interpreted as compensation for inflation risk. Based on an assumed...

Global trade has experienced a persistent slowdown since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), mainly driven by the deceleration in growth of goods trade. This study aims at identifying the reasons behind the persistent trade slowdown by using a panel regression model with data of 22 Advanced...