Showing 1 - 9 of 9
This paper provides a multivariate score-type test to distinguish between true and spurious long memory. The test is based on the weighted sum of the partial derivatives of the multivariate local Whittle likelihood function. This approach takes phase shifts in the multivariate spectrum into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324716
In this paper, test procedures for no fractional cointegration against possible breaks in the persistence structure of a fractional cointegrating relationship are introduced. The tests proposed are based on the supremum of the Hassler and Breitung (2006) test statistic for no cointegration over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012109763
We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776697
It is well known that standard tests for a mean shift are invalid in long-range dependent time series. Therefore, several long memory robust extensions of standard testing principles for a change-in-mean have been proposed in the literature. These can be divided into two groups: those that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776703
It is well known that intraday volatilities and trading volumes exhibit strong seasonal features. These seasonalities are usually modeled using dummy variables or deterministic functions. Here, we propose a test for seasonal long memory with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776704
The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over long memory stochastic volatility models has led to the fact that the actual degree of memory estimates has rarely been considered. Estimates in the literature range roughly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776706
This paper considers estimation and testing of multiple breaks that occur at unknown dates in multivariate long-memory time series. We propose a likelihood ratio based approach for estimating breaks in the mean and the covariance of a system of long-memory time series. The limiting distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384157
We propose a semiparametric multivariate estimator and a multivariate score-type testing procedure under a perturbed multivariate fractional process. The estimator is based on the periodogram and uses a local Whittle criterion function which is generalised by an additional constant to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471672
We develop methods to obtain optimal forecast under long memory in the presence of a discrete structural break based on different weighting schemes for the observations. We observe significant changes in the forecasts when long-range dependence is taken into account. Using Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471687