Motivated by migration phenomena and wage-inflation spillovers, we investigate the relationship between the two and the inflationary remittances built-in pressures. We establish a feedback loop between migration and inflation, and specify a simple dynamic model to identify the pass-through. Our...

The recent Covid-19 pandemic has increased the importance of properly forecasting macro-financial developments in turbulent times. Only a limited number of studies focus on how to employ macro-financial models to project key real and financial sector variables under large shocks and unusual...

This study investigates the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on non-performing loans (NPLs), using a unique bank-by-bank dataset on lending to FX hedged and FX unhedged borrowers. Employing fixed effects and panel quantile regression, we analyze how changes in exchange rate affect the NPL...

Given the prevailing global circumstances, characterized by tightening global financial conditions and substantial macro-financial vulnerabilities, the significance of monitoring financial conditions becomes even more pronounced and calls for heightened attention to the assessment and...

This study explores the heterogeneous and asymmetric macro-financial effects of climate change in CESEE countries, depending on the level of underlying macrofinancial vulnerabilities. Focusing solely on acute physical risks - those arising from extreme weather events - it employs panel quantile...