Alan, Sule; Crossley, Thomas; Low, Hamish - 2012
The aim of this paper is to understand what a recession means for individual consumers, and to model in a life … negative shock to individual income; (ii) an increase in the variance of idiosyncratic permanent shocks; (iii) a tightening of … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tightening of …