Showing 1 - 10 of 12
A number of advanced economies carried out a sequence of extensive reforms of their labor and product markets in the … of reforms, those of New Zealand, Australia, Denmark, Ireland and Netherlands in the 1990s, and the labor market reforms …
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This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent … with Okun’s Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun … coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to growth—from forecasts is fairly similar to that in the data for various …
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This paper asks how well Okun’s Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate—varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …
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unemployment, including the sharp rise in U.S. long-term unemployment during the Great Recession of 2007-09. About 75% of the … forecast error variance of unemployment is accounted for by cyclical factors-real GDP changes (?Okun‘s Law?), monetary and … dispersion of industry-level stock returns, account for the remaining 25 percent. For U.S. long-term unemployment the split …
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We study the impact of fluctuations in global oil prices on domestic inflation using an unbalanced panel of 72 advanced … and developing economies over the period from 1970 to 2015. We find that a 10 percent increase in global oil inflation … increases, on average, domestic inflation by about 0.4 percentage point on impact, with the effect vanishing after two years and …
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Central bankers often assert that low inflation and anchoring of inflation expectations are good for economic growth … advanced and emerging market economies over the period 1990-2014. Inflation anchoring in each country is measured as the … response of inflation expectations to inflation surprises (Levin and others, 2004). We find that credit constrained industries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809557