Berger, Wolfram; Wagner, Helmut - In: IMF Staff Papers 52 (2005) 1, pp. 41-54
exchange rate regimes in different countries. When countries trade with one another, the crisis probabilities are … partner's imminent crisis, because a loss of international competitiveness changes their governments' optimal escape clauses …. Thus, not only actual devaluations but an increasing crisis probability in one country may trigger currency crises …