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We argue that in an economy with downward nominal wage rigidity, the output gap is negative on average. Because it is more difficult to cut wages than to increase them, firms reduce employment more during downturns than they increase employment during expansions. This is demonstrated in a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862445
I provide an integrated analysis of monetary and macroprudential policies in a model economy featuring a financial friction and a nominal wage rigidity. In this set-up, the monetary authority faces a trade-off between macroeconomic and financial stability: While expansionary counter-cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350473
In this paper, we examine how economic shocks affect the distribution of household inflation expectations. We show that … the dynamics of households' expected inflation distributions are driven by three distinctive functional shocks, which … influence the expected inflation distribution through disagreement, level shift and ambiguity. Linking these functional shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079902
This paper provides some empirical estimates on how tightly is it feasible to control inflation in a very small open … inflation and output variability that are achievable under a range of alternative monetary policy rules. These frontiers … illustrate that inflation stabilization is more challenging in Iceland than in other industrial countries primarily because of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777966
weaker. Statistical relationships break down of the outset of high inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783117
This paper estimates core inflation in Norway, identified as that component of inflation that has no long-run effect on … GDP. The model distinguishes explicitly between domestic and imported core inflation. The results show that (domestic …) core inflation is the main component of CPI inflation. CPI inflation, however, misrepresents core inflation in some periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317981
In this paper, we undertake empirical analysis to understand U.S. wage behavior since thebeginning of the new millennium. At the macroeconomic level, we find that aproductivity-augmented Phillips curve model explains the data fairly well. The modelreveals that the upward pressure on wage growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913885
inflation. Through a novel consumption deflator decomposition, we show that import prices account for 40 percent of the average … convergence of inflation to target over the next two years. Monetary policy will thus need to remain restrictive to anchor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353730
wage growth and inflation in Europe and factors that influence the strength of the passthrough from labor costs to prices …. Historically, wage growth has led to higher inflation, but the impact has weakened since 2009. Empirical analysis suggests that the … passthrough from wage growth to inflation is significantly lower in periods of subdued inflation and inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842209
Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses …-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change … the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306762