Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …

We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. Thisallows us to capture the … different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that thePhillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper … indexationdynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a moredetailed understanding of inflation …

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …

Inflation persistence is sometimes defined as the tendency for price shocks to push the inflation rate away from its … steady state - including an inflation target - for a prolonged period. Persistence is important because it affects the output … costs of lowering inflation back to the target, often described as the “sacrifice ratio”. In this paper I use inflation …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …

This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve's target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …

non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …

We analyze the dramatic decline in India's inflation over the last two years using an augmented Phillips Curve approach …, we find that inflation is a highly persistent process in India, reflecting very adaptive expectations and the backward …

Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …

After trailing Euro Area inflation closely in the recent past, inflation in the Western Balkans has accelerated faster … VAR, adapting them to the data availability and country specificities of the Western Balkans, to analyze the inflation … dynamics in the region. It finds that international food prices affect not only headline but also core inflation as well as …