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demography. We use a forward-looking and dynamic approach that considers the entire population distribution. We find that this … and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China's demography, including the growth model, the pension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082859
Public sector balance sheets (PSBS) provide a framework for comprehensive and deepanalysis of fiscal risks and policies. To illustrate these benefits, this paper shows how PSBSanalysis can be applied to assess risks to Indonesia's public sector stemming from its publiccorporations. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869289
Despite important past reforms, the ageing population of Mauritius threatens the sustainability of its pension system. This paper examines how pension spending might increase without reforms and discusses reforms options. The findings suggest that unifying the retirement age and indexing it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019019
In recent decades, population has been aging fast in Brazil while old age pensions and health related spending have increased. As the population ages, the spending trend threaten to reach unsustainable levels absent reforms. Increasing the retirement age is key, but by itself will not provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956468
Reform of Lebanon's pension system is indispensable. The country already faces fiscal sustainability risks, which will be compounded in the future by significantly higher pension-related spending and liabilities, mainly reflecting adverse demographics. In addition to sustainability issues, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995262
We construct a comprehensive public sector balance sheet for Finland from 2000 to 2016 by complementing general government statistics with data on public corporations and public pensions. We show that exposure to valuation changes in equity markets through asset holdings and increases in pension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918560
Based on a permanent income analysis, Gagnon (2018) has prominently suggested that Norwayhas saved too much, thereby free-riding on the rest of the world for demand. Our public sectorbalance sheet analysis comes to the opposite conclusion, chiefly because it also accounts forfuture aging costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910357
How much of an internal rate of return would a sustainable pay-as-you-go pension system offer current and future generations equally? The answer is the sum of the Long-Run Biological Interest Rates (LBIR), the real-world equivalent of Samuelson's (1958) biological interest rate, and future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956469
Pension reform is a key policy challenge in Russia. This paper examines how pension spending could increase in Russia in the absence of reforms, quantifies the impact of some recent proposals, and suggests some alternatives that would ensure public pension benefits - relative to wages - not fall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098606
This paper analyzes various reform options for Japan's public pension in light of large fiscal consolidation needs of the country. The most attractive option is to increase the pension eligibility age in line with high and rising life expectancy. This would have a positive effect on long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088412