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Not anytime soon. Using a novel dataset covering 127 countries and spanning two centuries, we find evidence for an energy Kuznets curve, with an initial decline of energy demand at low levels of per capita income followed by stages of acceleration and then saturation at high-income levels....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252030
United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set … suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998782
theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out … tends to be smaller in recent subperiods, in particular in models that also include information on real GDP growth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772212
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the United States and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948538
High energy costs contribute to dampening Caribbean competitiveness and potential growth. This paper overviews power … of the impact of energy costs on growth and competitiveness; ii) evaluation of gains from implementing announced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993732
economic activity in sub-Saharan Africa during 1991-2011, except perhaps in South Africa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028664
impact of a hypothetical banking crisis on a country's growth. By enabling consideration of a rich set of potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858391
labor costs in a panel VAR setting leads to an additional indirect channel which amplifies the impact of electricity prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025487
After many years of rapid expansion, China's growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with … consumption becoming the main growth driver. This transition is likely to have negative effects on its trading partners in the … commodity exporters (Indonesia and Malaysia) would suffer the largest impact, with growth falling between 0.2 and 0.5 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977796
Both sides of the institutions and growth debate have resorted largely to microeconometric techniques in testing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015683