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Two types of currency in circulation models are identified: (1) a first generation derived fromthe theory of money demand and (2) a second generation aimed at producing daily forecastsof currency in circulation. In this paper, we transform the currency demand function into aVAR to capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925220
Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation stabilization episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318682
dynamics of the economy, the design ofmonetary policy, and the properties of inflation at different levels of development. A … calibratedversion of the model encompasses both rich and poor countries and broadly replicates theproperties of inflation across the … nearcomplete)stabilization of sticky-price non-food inflation, despite the presence of a foodsubsistencethreshold. Subsistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982444
This paper explores inflation dynamics and monetary policy in Bolivia. Bolivia's monetary policy framework has been … effective in stabilizing inflation in recent times. This has been a challenging task given high price volatility of key consumer … framework has contributed to the stabilization of inflation, with effective transmission through the bank lending channel, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998770
Inflation persistence is sometimes defined as the tendency for price shocks to push the inflation rate away from its … steady state - including an inflation target - for a prolonged period. Persistence is important because it affects the output … costs of lowering inflation back to the target, often described as the “sacrifice ratio”. In this paper I use inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054691
relationship of various measures of money and inflation. After demonstrating that previous naïve correlations between money and … inflation as established in the 20th century literature have largely disappeared, we explain why this cannot be taken as support …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243075
inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent … theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out … Volcker and Greenspan eras. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772212
The level and trend in cash use in a country will influence the demand for central bank digital currency (CBDC). While access to digital currency will be more convenient than traveling to an ATM, it only makes CBDC like a bank debit card-not better. Demand for digital currency will thus be weak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889147
The degree of an economy's monetization, which has an important implication on economic growth, can be affected by the conduct of monetary policy, financial sector reform, and episodes of financial crises. The paper finds that monetization -- measured by the ratio of broad money to nominal GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102201
transformed money demand, in addition to the observed output gap and inflation, into a simple but optimal interest rate rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102289