Showing 1 - 10 of 160
Despite its low unemployment rate, the recent shift in the Japanese Beveridge curveindicates increased labor mismatch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074692
education in the labor force and when long-term unemployment is more pronounced. Policies which could facilitate labor market … policies, such as unemployment benefits, as well as labor taxation render matching significantly more difficult …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977727
unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025502
non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783217
Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023270
High and volatile inflation has been an endemic economic and social issue in Iran that has contributed to rising … poverty and social tensions. For policymakers to effectively address the inflation problem, it is critical to understand its … long-term determinants of inflation in Iran over the past two decades and identify policy options to curb it. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076815
The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on wage and consumer price inflation vary with the states or structural … advanced economies. The pass-through to wages is found to have been higher when the prevailing level of inflation was higher or … policy. The effects of oil price shocks on core inflation and inflation expectations are consistent with their effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076820
In this paper, we examine how economic shocks affect the distribution of household inflation expectations. We show that … the dynamics of households' expected inflation distributions are driven by three distinctive functional shocks, which … influence the expected inflation distribution through disagreement, level shift and ambiguity. Linking these functional shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079902
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082956