Showing 1 - 10 of 1,148
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of thepost-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate astylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during“normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061162
The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023273
to unemployment surges, as firms are forced to cutcosts when financing becomes expensive or is no longer available. As a … result, allcountries with risk premium shocks saw unemployment surge, even as euro area corecountries managed to contain … unemployment as firms hoarded labor during thedownturn. Most striking, wage bills in euro area crisis countries and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889134
effective in stimulating economic activity, boosting confidence, and reducing unemployment, but their effect varies by type of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013299036
We build a two-country currency union DSGE model with endogenous growth to assess the role of cross-country differences in product and labor market regulations for long-term growth and for the adjustment to shocks. We show that with endogenous growth, there is no reason to expect real income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867677
Using a DSGE model calibrated to the euro area, we analyze the international effects of afiscal devaluation (FD) implemented as a revenue-neutral shift from employer's socialcontributions to the Value Added Tax. We find that a FD in 'Southern European countries' has a strong positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040409
We assess the macroeconomic effects of a sovereign restructuring in a small economy belonging to a monetary union by simulating a dynamic general equilibrium model. In line with the empirical evidence, we make the following three key assumptions. First, sovereign debt is held by domestic agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059858
Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U …-level unemployment data, which are only available from January 1976 onwards, and capture consistent patterns in the business cycle. We … use our claims-based unemployment series to examine the evolving pace of post-war unemployment recoveries at the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081630
unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … unemployment rates to pre-shock levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912496
This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate-varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085991