Showing 1 - 10 of 1,139
Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
In 2021-22, inflation in Europe soared to multidecade highs, consistently exceeding policymakers’ forecasts and … surprising with its wide cross-country dispersion. This paper analyzes the key drivers of the inflation surge in Europe and its …’s economies. Inflation is more sensitive to domestic slack and external price pressures in emerging European economies compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257255
Given the backdrop of pressing infrastructure needs, this paper argues that higher German public investment would not only stimulate domestic demand in the near term and reduce the current account surplus, but would also raise output over the longer-run as well as generate beneficial regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028678
policy in reducing inflation. Specifically, a fiscal consolidation of 1 percent of GDP for two years and 0.5 percent in the …, while lowering inflation. It would also put the public debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path, with the output costs reversing … risks. In the current context of elevated inflation in all euro area economies, the findings suggest two key takeaways …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352982
We build a factor-augmented interacted panel vector-autoregressive model of the Euro Area (EA) and estimate it with Bayesian methods to compute government spending multipliers. The multipliers are contingent on the overall monetary policy stance, captured by a shadow monetary policy rate. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866218
“below, but close to 2 percent” to a formal symmetric inflation targeting regime in the euro area or from flexible to average … inflation targeting in the U.S. is shown to boost output and inflation in both regions. Meanwhile, the fiscal packages approved … output and inflation as changing the monetary policy frameworks . Simultaneously implementing these policies is mutually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237881
We study the transmission of monetary shocks across euro-area countries using a dynamic factor model and high-frequency identification. We develop a methodology to assess the degree of heterogeneity, which we find to be low in financial variables and output, but significant in consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828237
The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role … for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integration with the global economy …, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the last decade suggest that the drivers of inflation may have changed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015595
inflation. We discuss dollarization, administrative interventions, and other features complicating monetary policy transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778204
Global inflation has surged to 7.5 percent in August 2022, from an average of 2.1 percent in the decade preceding the … factors to the post-pandemic rise in consumer price inflation, using monthly data and a battery of econometric methodologies … inflation dynamics throughout Europe, country-specific factors, including monetary and fiscal policy responses to the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264538