Showing 1 - 10 of 410
variety relative to the United States helps to explain relative per capita GDP levels. The empirical work relies upon some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317978
that are either neutral or in carbon-emitting industries. Transitioning out of pollution-intensive jobs into green jobs may …. We find that the imposition of the Act caused workers to shift from pollution-intensive to greener industries, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079904
lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110097
What do we know about the output effects of fiscal policy in low income countries (LICs)? There are very few empirical studies on the subject. This paper fills this gap by estimating the output effects of government spending shocks in LICs. Our analysis-based on the local projection method-finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831612
This paper presents a novel framework to estimate the elasticity between nighttime lights and quarterly economic activity. The relationship is identified by accounting for varying degrees of measurement errors in nighttime light data across countries. The estimated elasticity is 1.55 for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082217
Korea's rapid growth has slowed in recent years, suggesting lower potential growth. This paper uses an array of techniques, including statistical filters, a multivariate model and the production function, to estimate Korea's potential growth. The main finding is that trend growth has fallen from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054690
In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a … bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into … aggregate individual countries' densities into a world aggregate while preserving the non-i.i.d. nature of the global GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829696
elasticities on a sample of 72 countries for real GDP and 28 countries for oil GDP over 6 years, I derive oil and non-oil GDP … growth for Yemen. I show that real GDP contracted by a cumulative 24 percent over 2015-17 against 50 percent according to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858960
Economic policies are often judged by a handful of statistics, some of which may be biased during periods of change. We estimate the income growth implied by the evolution of food demand and durable good ownership in post-reform Brazil and Mexico, and find that changes in consumption patterns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677643
This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using … public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP … ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public debt for 178 countries over 1995-2020, we find that the impact of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289446