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We investigate the drivers of dynamics of major U.S. FX bilaterals. We first construct a novel measure of FX risk premiums using Consensus exchange rate forecasts. We then use VAR analysis to show that (i) risk premium shocks play a key role in driving dynamics of the major U.S. FX bilaterals;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977825
Using flow of funds and high frequency data from the Investment Company Institute, we study the effects of monetary policy shocks on the size of non-bank assets as well as on flows into long-term mutual funds and returns on their assets. Consolidating chains of non-bank intermediation to avoid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350470
Dutch disease is often referred as a situation in which large and sustained foreign currency inflows lead to a contraction of the tradable sector by giving rise to a real appreciation of the home currency. This paper documents that this syndrome has been witnessed by many emerging markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306761
This paper examines how countries use Macroprudential Policies (MaPs) to respond to external shocks such as US monetary policy surprises or fluctuations in capital flows. Constructing a model of a small open economy with financial frictions and a MaP authority that adjusts loan to value (LTV)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257930
This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243054
This paper provides new evidence of the effect of monetary policy shocks on income inequality. Using a measure of unanticipated changes in policy rates for a panel of 32 advanced and emerging market countries over the period 1990-2013, the paper finds that contractionary (expansionary) monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962145
statistically significant output effect under floating exchange rate regimes. For the estimation of the output effects of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831612
the variations in real exchange rate changes during the estimation period. The paper also finds that supply shocks are as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783233
This paper uses a vector autoregression (VAR) approach to identify the driving forces of the growth slowdown in Japan during the 1990s. Negative shocks to both residential and nonresidential investment are shown to have been important determinants of the slowdown. Despite the collapse in asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317715
-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model …-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998782