Showing 1 - 10 of 1,212
This paper examines the mechanisms through which output volatility is related to trade openness using an industry … appreciable impact on aggregate volatility. Added together they imply that the relationship between trade openness and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677612
examines the consistency of IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecasts with the full information rational expectations (FIRE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015328073
Major output collapses are costly and frequent in the developing world. Using cross-country data, we classify five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059959
This paper presents a novel framework to estimate the elasticity between nighttime lights and quarterly economic activity. The relationship is identified by accounting for varying degrees of measurement errors in nighttime light data across countries. The estimated elasticity is 1.55 for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060380
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY -- II. DESCRIPTION OF WEO DATASET -- III. PROPERTIES OF OPTIMAL FORECASTS -- IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS -- V. ANALYSIS OF STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE -- VI. CAN THE WEO FORECAST ERRORS BE PREDICTED? -- VII. DIRECTIONAL ACCURACY -- VIII. REVISIONS FROM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691044
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690971
The paper takes stock of the debate on the positive link between output volatility and the size of government … government size-volatility relationship largely reflects temporary developments (better monetary management and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409031
rise of renewable sources of energy. Using high-frequency data, this paper investigates volatility spillovers across 24 …, cross-border volatility spillovers dominate the behavior in national electricity markets in Europe-and this effect has grown … over time. We also implement an augmented gravity model of bilateral volatility spillovers across power markets in the EU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015328189
During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian … increase in mature market equity volatility generated an exchange rate depreciation of up to ½ percent. This sensitivity rose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677655
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. METHODOLOGY AND DATA -- III. VOLATILITY DYNAMICS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691001