Showing 1 - 10 of 109
The macroeconomic effects of large food price swings can be broad and far-reaching, including the balance of payments of importers and exporters, budgets, inflation, and poverty. For market participants and policymakers, managing low frequency volatility—i.e., the component of volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560434
Credibility is the bedrock of any crisis stress test. The use of stress tests to manage systemic risk was introduced by … constructing an effective crisis stress test. It combines financial markets impact studies of previous exercises with relevant case …. Pertinent concepts, issues and nuances particular to crisis stress testing are also discussed. The findings may be useful for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142183
of more crisis prone regimes suggests no simple dividing line between safe floats and risky intermediate regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123856
nature of the crisis? Contrary to the commonly held view that foreign banks play a stabilizing role during domestic banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242311
The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242339
While global rebalancing will mainly involve structural realignment among major advanced and emerging market economies, it could have significant impact on low-income countries (LICs). Simulations using a global general equilibrium model show that a more balanced global economy would tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369449
This paper estimates the effectiveness of capital controls in response to inflow surges in Brazil, Colombia, Korea, and Thailand in the 2000s. Controls are generally associated with a decrease in inflows and a lengthening of maturities, but the relationship is not statistically significant in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370551
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in international trade data from the United States over the period 2002 to 2011. The conventional wisdom in academia and policy circles is that primary commodity prices are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370560
This paper examines the economic and financial linkages between Morocco and Tunisia and their European partners. Using structural vector autoregressions, we find that growth shocks in European partner countries generate significant responses on growth in Morocco and Tunisia. For Tunisia, exports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727792
We introduce non-tradable goods to the Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson (HOS) model to study the distributive effects of terms of trade shocks. We show that the employment of resources in activities producing exclusively for the local market induces a crucial association between domestic spending and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727799