Showing 1 - 10 of 253
Credibility is the bedrock of any crisis stress test. The use of stress tests to manage systemic risk was introduced by … constructing an effective crisis stress test. It combines financial markets impact studies of previous exercises with relevant case …. Pertinent concepts, issues and nuances particular to crisis stress testing are also discussed. The findings may be useful for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142183
of more crisis prone regimes suggests no simple dividing line between safe floats and risky intermediate regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123856
nature of the crisis? Contrary to the commonly held view that foreign banks play a stabilizing role during domestic banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242311
The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242339
-pair heterogeneity—that is absent when gross trade data are used. That effect is bigger in crisis times, pointing to trade as an … important crisis propagation mechanism. Bilateral intra-industry trade and trade specialization correlation also appear to …This paper reexamines the relationship between trade integration and business cycle synchronization (BCS) using new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142047
We examine how Korea’s capital flows and trade have been affected by the quantitative easing (QE) of the United … in the world market for trade. We find that QE had little direct impact on capital flows to Korea, and tapering is … the exchange rate spillover from QQME to Korea has been limited both on trade and capital flow fronts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142093
The rapid growth in China’s domestic investment in recent decades has generated a large appetite for global goods, including from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This paper estimates the impact of changes in China’s investment growth on SSA’s exports. Although rising trading links...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142109
This paper quantifies the effect of realized and potential global growth disappointments on export volumes from the Middle East, North Africa, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. Estimates of export elasticities with respect to trading partner GDP indicate non-oil export volumes are relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142158
the RoW, but has also gradually drifted away from the G7 in favour of the BRICs. Trade with the BRICs turns out to be the … strongest driver of this shift. Much of this impact unfolds through aggregate demand impulse from trade. As fiscal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142171
This paper examines the mechanisms through which output volatility is related to trade openness using an industry …-level panel dataset of manufacturing production and trade. The main results are threefold. First, sectors more open to … international trade are more volatile. Second, trade is accompanied by increased specialization. Third, sectors that are more open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790347