Showing 81 - 90 of 186
This paper argues that the large differences among EU countries in post-crisis employment performance are to a large extent driven by the need to adjust corporate balance sheets, which had greatly deteriorated during the boom years in some countries but not in others. To close the large gaps...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242321
This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242396
. The estimates suggest that non-cyclical factors account for at least half of the decline of the unemployment rate during … the period between 2004-Q1, when unemployment peaked at 10.9 percent, and 2011-Q4, when it marked a trough at 5.4 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242401
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
The aim of this paper is to provide new estimates of employment-output elasticities and assess the effect of structural and macroeocnomic policies on the employment-intensity of growth. Using an unbalanced panel of 167 countries over the period 1991 - 2009, the results suggest that structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155507
unemployment, including the sharp rise in U.S. long-term unemployment during the Great Recession of 2007-09. About 75% of the … forecast error variance of unemployment is accounted for by cyclical factors-real GDP changes (?Okun‘s Law?), monetary and … dispersion of industry-level stock returns, account for the remaining 25 percent. For U.S. long-term unemployment the split …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019575
Real unit labor costs (RULC) growth differentials between euro area members have persisted since EMU began and even widened out in the run-up to the crisis. This paper focuses on the causes underlying such dispersion. According to our empirical findings, persistent RULC growth differentials can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019597
.C from 1991 to 2008, we present econometric evidence that supports that changes in state-level unemployment rates are linked … causality going from mismatches and housing conditions to unemployment rates. The numerical estimates imply that the structural … unemployment rate in 2010 was about 1¾ percentage points higher than before the onset of the housing market meltdown at end-2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019607
This paper shows that labor market search frictions do not explain fluctuations in the labor wedge per se. However, the introduction of extensive and intensive margin clarifies that measuring the MRS in terms of total hours artificially introduces procyclicality in the MRS. When the MRS is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147322
JEL Cl This study constructs a new data set on unemployment rates in Latin America and the Caribbean and then explores … the determinants of unemployment. We compare different countries, finding that unemployment is influenced by the size of … increases in unemployment over time, finding that they are caused by contractions in aggregate demand. These demand contractions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369453