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This paper assesses the implications of the use of oil revenue for public investment on growth and fiscal sustainability in Cameroon. We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of such investment on growth and on the path of key fiscal indicators, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409427
We identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define ""growth spells:"" periods of high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample. Growth spells tend to be shorter in African and Latin American countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677563
workforce that are projected to lower potential growth substantially in the longer term. We project China's potential growth … structural reforms to lift productivity growth and rebalancing China's growth towards more consumption, that would help China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015328288
Going forward, Korea faces two closely related challenges: sustaining economic growth against the backdrop of a rapidly aging population and ameliorating income inequality. This paper argues that a gradual increase in social spending could promote more sustainable and inclusive growth in Korea....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659803
We analyze the recent evolution of ethnic economic inequality in Peru, a major source of social discontent in the country. Household survey data indicates that recent decades of high output growth also witnessed a substantial narrowing of socioeconomic gaps among ethnicities. Most notably, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060121
This paper evaluates the progression of the sovereign ESG landscape since the initial comprehensive assessment of the sector in 2021 in "Demystifying Sovereign ESG" by conducting a comparative analysis of the current sovereign ESG methodologies of commercial ESG providers. The 2021 study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058411
In this paper, we consider the design of the surveillance, and, in particular, the fiscal criteria in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) with the view to ensuring they are consistent with internal and external sustainability. This consistency is important within a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677509
Assuming a social welfare function that smoothes expenditure, this paper calculates a sustainability benchmark for the non-mineral balance in Botswana that is based on a notion of a ""permanent income"" from non-renewable resources. It is derived by constructing a hypothetical annuity from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677592
A common dilemma facing governments around the world is how to meet the sizeable fiscal costs of providing and maintaining infrastructure networks. Over the past decade, developed and developing countries have looked to fiscal rules, budgetary reforms, tax policy and administration measures,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677684
Despite substantial debt relief to HIPC Initiative completion point countries, long-term debt sustainability remains a challenge. This paper examines a number of structural factors affecting external debt sustainability. It shows that in HIPC completion point countries (i) the export base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677794