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the real GDP growth have moved closely together. Since the indicator is constructed using a small number of common factors …, the strong correlation between the indicator and real GDP growth points to a high degree of commonality across GCC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677760
The emerging European economies have been converging rapidly towards the more advanced European economies in recent years. However, large external imbalances in parts of the region have raised questions about sustainability and concerns about vulnerabilities. Empirical evidence in this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677624
. This is essential to ensure India remains on a sustainable fiscal path with higher growth, given the high public debt at … each state. The large stock of debt of several states puts at risk the adequate financing of growth-enchancing expenditures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015328400
While India’s growth has been strong in recent decades, its structural transformation remains incomplete. In this paper …, we first take stock of India’s growth to date. We find that economic activity has shifted from agriculture to services … and that doing so and with workers shifting towards more dynamic sectors could boost GDP growth by 0.2-0.5 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080244
SOURCES AND VARIABLE CONSTRUCTION -- V. ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY AND RESULTS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIXES …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682183
External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate … moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in housing and credit markets …'s largest export destination. We use a small structural model and Bayesian estimation to assess the possible impact of a U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677605
-year periods using a two-dimensional state space based on growth regimes and political institutions. We then model the joint … evolution of output growth and political institutions as a finite state Markov chain, and study how countries move between … states. We find that growth is more likely to be sustained under democracy than under autocracy; output collapses are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059959
This paper presents a novel framework to estimate the elasticity between nighttime lights and quarterly economic activity. The relationship is identified by accounting for varying degrees of measurement errors in nighttime light data across countries. The estimated elasticity is 1.55 for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060380
This paper investigates the factors that affect inflation in the GCC region by examining the inflationary processes in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The paper utilizes a model that accounts for foreign factors affecting inflation, such as trading partners' inflation and exchange rate pass-through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409052
This paper investigates the factors that affect inflation in the GCC region by examining the inflationary processes in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The paper utilizes a model that accounts for foreign factors affecting inflation, such as trading partners' inflation and exchange rate pass-through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677641