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Well-known empirical puzzles in international macroeconomics concern the large divergence of equilibrium outcomes for consumption across countries from the predictions of models with full risk sharing. It is commonly believed that these risk-sharing puzzles are related to another empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677771
Intro -- Contents -- I. THE EMERGENCE OF ASIAN STOCK MARKETS -- II. PERFORMANCE OF ASIAN EMERGING STOCK MARKETS -- III. ARE ASIAN MARKETS OVERHEATING? -- IV. EQUITY PRICES AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY -- V. POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- APPENDIX I: THE DEVELOPMENT OF EQUITY DERIVATIVES MARKETS IN ASIA --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690965
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. PREVIOUS LITERATURE -- III. MODEL SPECIFICATION -- IV. ESTIMATION -- V. DATA AND PRELIMINARY STATISTICS -- VI. MAIN RESULTS -- VII. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691179
Failures in the crypto space-including the fall of Terra USD and the FTX debacle-have sparked calls for strengthening countries' policy frameworks for crypto assets, including by enhanced regulation and supervision. How have these heightened concerns about crypto assets been picked up in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059060
Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707567
This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677570
Though theory suggests financial globalization should improve international risk sharing, empirical support has been limited. We develop a simple welfare-based measure that captures how far countries are from the ideal of perfect risk sharing. We then take it to data and find international risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677878
Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. METHODOLOGY AND DATA -- III. DYNAMIC FACTORS AND EPISODES OF BUSINESS CYCLES -- IV. SOURCES OF BUSINESS CYCLE FLUCTUATIONS: 1960-2005 -- V. GLOBALIZATION AND THE EVOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES -- VI. SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS -- VII. CONCLUSION --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682176
world. This spillover analysis is based on a pair of estimated structural macroeconometric models of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790263
Intro -- Contents -- I. MOTIVATION -- II. HISTORICAL EVIDENCE ON DEFAULT AND LENDING RESUMPTION -- III. THE ENVIRONMENT -- IV. OBSERVABLE TYPES -- V. UNOBSERVABLE TYPES -- VI. CONCLUDING REMARKS -- PROOFS OF PROPOSITIONS 3 AND 4 -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691139