Showing 1 - 10 of 115
This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyses the volatility structure of Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugal....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142190
This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123845
(SIFIs), analyse the nature of contagion propagation, and also monitor and design ways of increasing robustness in the … in that the failure of any member of the central tier will bring down other members with the contagion coming to an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242265
Successful implementation of macroprudential policy is contingent on the ability to identify and estimate systemic risk in real time. In this paper, systemic risk is defined as the conditional probability of a systemic banking crisis and this conditional probability is modeled in a fixed effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242269
The global financial crisis has reignited interest in models of crisis prediction. It has also raised the question whether financial connectedness - a possible source of systemic risk - can serve as an early warning indicator of crises. In this paper we examine the ability of connectedness in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790234
stability of the banking system, a government’s commitment to shield banks from contagion may increase their incentives to … bailout rents are low and the risk of contagion (upon a bank failure) is high. The optimal policy may then be not to try to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790390
This paper provides the most comprehensive empirical study of the effectiveness of macroprudential instruments to date. Using data from 49 countries, the paper evaluates the effectiveness of macroprudential instruments in reducing systemic risk over time and across institutions and markets. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369434
This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We … discount factors. Risk sharing is low in Asia, and varies across time and countries, whereas contagion risks are more … contagion, but the terms of tradeoffs vary across countries, depending on relative economic fluctuations and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369441
The paper provides an empirical analysis of aggregate banking system ratios during systemic banking crises. Drawing upon a wide cross-country dataset, we utilize parametric and nonparametric tests to assess the power of these ratios to discriminate between sound and unsound banking systems. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768721
14 developing and industrial countries. The results show that contagion was systemic during the period, with industrial … importance of studying them jointly. An implication of the empirical results is that models of contagion that exclude industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769188