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Mauritius’s economic performance has been called “the Mauritian miracle†and the “success of Africa†(Romer, 1992; Frankel, 2010; Stiglitz, 2011), despite difficult initial conditions that led a Nobel Prize Winner in economics to predict stagnation (Meade, 1961). We use growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142138
financial crisis, but the rate of convergence toward advanced country income levels has still been slow. Moreover, forecasts …-country panel regression of economic growth using System GMM captures the importance to growth of conditional convergence, factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369454
Using a simple growth accounting framework, we project India's future potential output growth rate through 2025. We argue that there is perhaps more upside potential than downside risks to our central estimate of annual growth, which is close to 7 percent for aggregate output, or 5.5 percent for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826334
The purpose of this paper is to empirically determine the effects of political instability on economic growth. Using the system-GMM estimator for linear dynamic panel data models on a sample covering up to 169 countries, and 5-year periods from 1960 to 2004, we find that higher degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839352
Following very strong growth during the period 2000–12, emerging market economies (EMEs) experienced a slowdown in the last couple of years. This paper examines the supply-side drivers of the strong growth performance of 63 EMEs and investigates if the recent slowdown in growth is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142160
This study aims to test within a relatively homogeneous group of small states what differentiates the growth performance of Pacific island countries (PICs) from their peers. We find that PICs are disadvantaged by distance and hampered by lower investment and exports compared with other small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242206
Growth takeoffs in developing economies have rebounded in the past two decades. Although recent takeoffs have lasted longer than takeoffs before the 1990s, a key question is whether they could unravel like some did in the past. This paper finds that recent takeoffs are associated with stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242243
probability of stalled convergence increases. On the other hand, with reforms to accelerate TFP growth and shift the economy away … from its continued reliance on capital accumulation, China can grow at a healthy pace and maintain its convergence toward … and sustain such a convergence toward the level of more prosperous economies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242319
Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China’s current investment levels. It finds that China’s capital-to-output ratio is within the range of other emerging markets, but its economic growth rates stand out, partly due to a surge in investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142176
Many small middle-income countries (SMICs) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have experienced a moderation in growth in recent years. Although factor accumulation, most notably capital deepening, was crucial to the success of many SMICs historically, this growth model appears to have run its course....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123829