Montiel, Peter; Jahjah, Samir - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing … the government. We show that under a credible hard peg (currency board), default is a more likely outcome, even without an … exceptionally large short-term debt, precisely because a devaluation is not an option. In a more conventional fixed peg, it can be …