money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …

This paper analyzes the monetary policy response to rising inflation in emerging and developing countries associated … with the food and oil price shocks in 2007 and the first half of 2008. It reviews inflation developments in a sample of … of inflation; provides a synthesis of policy responses taken against the background of the conflicting objectives and …

-kinked demand schedule for goods produced by firms. Our model can jointly account for the modest decline in inflation during the … Great Recession and the surge in inflation during the Post-Covid period. Because our model implies a stronger transmission … of shocks when inflation is high, it generates conditional heteroskedasticity in inflation and inflation risk. Hence, our …

supply chain disruptions for inflation and monetary policy in sub-Saharan Africa. Increases in supply chain pressures have … had a sizeable impact on headline, food, and tradable inflation for a panel of 29 sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 … to 2022. Our findings suggest that central banks can stabilize inflation and output more efficiently by monitoring global …

This paper analyzes the dramatic rise in U.S. inflation since 2020, which we decompose into a rise in core inflation as … measured by the weighted median inflation rate and deviations of headline inflation from core. We explain the rise in core with …-through into core from past shocks to headline inflation. The headline shocks themselves are explained largely by increases in …

Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …

-- III. Survey of the Theoretical Debate -- IV. The Importance of Money for Inflation Forecasts -- V. Disaggregated Monetary …

Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding … inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation reports, we provide a new … methodology for the empirical evaluation of consistency in central bank communication. We find that the three communication tools-inflation …

This paper presents a model for Inflation Targeting under imperfect policy credibility. It modifies the conventional … time; non-linearities in the inflation equation and in the credibility generating process; and an explicit loss function …. The model highlights problems associated with the practice of setting a series of rigid near-term inflation targets. Also …