Showing 1 - 10 of 120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012678066
We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with … a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the retirement age have a large positive effect on output, but a small …: Increasing the Retirement Age -- C. Reform II: Cutting Pension Benefits -- D. The Long-Run Tradeoff between Output and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690159
private sector. As such, social security reforms can affect both retirement decisions and sectoral choices. We study the … effects of social security reforms on retirement and sectoral behavior in an economy with multiple pension systems. We develop … public - and endogenous retirement. We quantitatively assess the long-run effects of reforms being discussed and implemented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015328072
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142029
The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826038
households at the peak of their working lives have relatively low savings though there is no evidence of a generational savings … savings and housing capital gains. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263766
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store-or-sow"" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615558
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622528
, suggesting a heightened role for precautionary savings. This paper uses a parameterized small open economy model to quantify the … role of precautionary savings in economies with exhaustible resources, when the only source of uncertainty is the price of … the exhaustible resource. Results show that the precautionary motive can generate sizable external sector savings. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677722
Household savings rates in the United States have recently crept up from all-time lows. Some have suggested that a …, our model predicts that such primary savings will increase, but only temporarily and modestly, as household assets … stabilize. As savings flows gradually accumulate, they help rebuild corporate net worth and hence firms' capacity to make capit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677868