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Building on the evolving literature on the topic, this paper reviews the relationship between demographics and long-run capital flows in both theory and in the data. For this purpose, we develop a two region overlapping generations model where countries differ in their population growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978549
This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978553
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796753
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demographic groups, although the age-profile of savings has an unusual U-shaped pattern, with saving rates being the highest among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401821
reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395270
This paper develops and tests a model of Japan’s household savings rate, based on the life-cycle hypothesis that the … primary motive for savings is provision for retirement. The paper shows that Japan’s high household savings rate in recent … improvements in public pension benefits and the aging of the population. It projects that the savings rate will decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395990
We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply in self-insurance channels over … social security benefits for the period 1995-2009. We find that both savings and the labor supply are quantitatively … adjustment to savings and labor supply have significant macroeconomic implications. Applying the model to China, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009609
the elderly. This study suggests that these demographic trends may lead to a decline in the G-7 private savings rate after … 2000, compounding the impact of social expenditure pressures on the government’s deficit. Moreover, public pensions may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396157