has been de-emphasized, developments in the monetary aggregates remain an important indicator of future inflation. The … exchange rate and import prices are also relevant, particularly for inflation in the manufacturing sector …

This paper analyses the dynamics of inflation in Kenya during 1974–96, a period characterized by external shocks and … exchange rate, foreign prices, and terms of trade have long-run effects on inflation, while the money supply and interest rate … only have short-run effects. The dynamics of inflation are also found to be influenced by food supply constraints. Moreover …

Adequate modeling of the seasonal structure of consumer prices is essential for inflation forecasting. This paper … suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy stances, particularly where … money growth and implied exchange rate paths along with a jointly determined inflation forecast. The approach uses two broad …

In recent years, the decline in inflation in Angola has stalled and further steps may be needed to attain the … digit inflation rate. A Vector Error Correction (VEC) model, which analyzes the factors that affect the inflationary process … in Angola, suggests that the inflation path has been largely affected by exchange rate movements. This implies that …

aftermath of the global financial crisis as CCA countries have entered a relatively low inflation environment. The pass …-through estimates could be used by the CCA monetary authorities for inflation projections. The absence of non-linearities in the pass …

that this may have contributed to more elastic aggregate supply in recent years, which is consistent with lower inflation …

Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a … standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …

wage growth and inflation in Europe and factors that influence the strength of the passthrough from labor costs to prices …. Historically, wage growth has led to higher inflation, but the impact has weakened since 2009. Empirical analysis suggests that the … passthrough from wage growth to inflation is significantly lower in periods of subdued inflation and inflation expectations …

Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …