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phenomenon. In addition to risk aversion, equity premium may reflect ambiguity aversion. We explore the sources of equity premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399705
voting decisions. Thus, risk neutral individuals exhibit what we call political risk aversion. Yet individual uncertainty is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402381
explores how much of these large movements reflected shifts in (i) global risk aversion (ii) country-specific risks, directly … in the crisis, the surge in global risk aversion was a significant factor influencing sovereign spreads, while recently … Spain, as the emphasis has shifted towards short-term refinancing risk and long-term fiscal sustainability. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402913
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store … investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers invest relatively little. In contrast, low volatility of permanent … shocks leads to low precautionary saving and high or low investment, depending on the volatility of temporary shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396572
Panel data on Ghanaian manufacturing firms are used to test predictions from models of irreversible investment under …, higher uncertainty raises the hurdle level that triggers investment, and uncertainty has a negative effect on investment … levels that is greater for firms with more irreversible investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403297
""production function"" that determines performance in office, then an officeholder has an incentive to experiment-that is, raise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403960
from risk neutrality and/or rational expectations. In addition, a mechanism is needed that generates the appropriate … correlation between the forward premium and shocks arising from risk premia or expectations errors. This paper extends McCallum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399801
We analyze the impact of trade policy uncertainty on investment in the euro area. Our identification strategy assumes … that countries that are relatively more dependent on global trade networks exhibit a higher sensitivity of investment with … respect to trade uncertainty. We find that the investment-to-GDP ratio is on average 0.8 percentage points lower for five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978678
Recent developments in financial economics have included many explorations into market microstructure, that is, the internal functioning of markets and the ways in which they provide liquidity to traders. An important contribution of this literature is that prices can deviate from their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396062
uncertainty using options contracts. VAR analysis shows that the investment response to an uncertainty shock of average magnitude … in the sample is strong and persistent: the cumulative fall in investment from trend at a one-year horizon ranges 2 …-5.8 percentage points; and it takes between 1 1\2 and 2 years for investment to return to its trend level. Empirical ranges depend on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715577