Showing 1 - 10 of 1,102
Models of “contagion” rely on market imperfections to explain why adverse shocks in one asset market might be associated with asset sales in many unrelated markets. This paper demonstrates that contagion can be explained with basic portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for … volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was consistent with both volatility clustering and mean reversion … specification improvements were always possible. The model corroborated stylized findings in volatility modeling and has potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400143
This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European … sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyses the volatility structure of … explaining each other’s volatility while Germany also plays an important role. It is found that extreme bad news led to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411217
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388660
This paper investigates the sources of macrofinancial fluctuations and turbulence within the framework of an approximate linear dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the world economy, augmented with structural shocks exhibiting potentially asymmetric generalized autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932502
We argue that firm interdependencies, as measured by correlations of stock returns, provide an indicator of systemic risk potential. We find a positive trend in stock return correlations net of diversification effects for a sample of U.S. Large and Complex Banking Organizations over 1988-99....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399710
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
The paper analyzes foreign exchange market volatility in four Central European EU accession countries in 2001-2003. By … using a Markov regime-switching model, it identifies two regimes representing high- and low-volatility periods. The … the Czech koruna-Slovak koruna) in the high-volatility period. The paper concludes by discussing the policy implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404125
haircuts with market volatility and the amount of securities sold by banks. The framework is accompanied by a Matlab program …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154762