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Historically high household debt in several economies is calling for a deleveraging, but according to some economists, this adjustment can slow GDP growth by weighing on consumption. Using a sample of advanced and emerging market economies, this paper finds evidence of a negative relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796301
There are, by now, several long term, time series data sets on important housing and macro variables, such as land prices, house prices, and the housing wealth-to-income ratio. However, an appropriate theory that can be employed to think about such data and associated research questions has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011670494
We analyze how regulatory constraints on household leverage-in the form of loan-to-income and loan-to-value limits-a?ect residential mortgage credit and house prices as well as other asset classes not directly targeted by the limits. Supervisory loan level data suggest that mortgage credit is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251338
A hypothetical European Minimum Wage (MW) set at 60 percent of each country's median wage would reduce in-work poverty but have limited effects on overall poverty, as many poor households do not earn a wage near MW and higher unemployment, higher prices, and a loss of social insurance benefits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251363
The sharp rise of house prices in China's Tier-1 cities has fostered a great deal of commentary about the possibility of bubbles forming there. However, China's unique housing market characteristics make it difficult to assess the macroeconomic severity of bursting bubbles, even if they exist....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252749
Has monetary policy in advanced economies been less effective since the global financial crisis because of deteriorating household balance sheets? This paper examines the question using household data from the United States. It compares the responsiveness of household consumption to monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001512
To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018. This paper finds that downside risks to housing markets in the United States have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251283
We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251966
This paper argues that asset price cycles have significant effects on fiscal outcomes. In particular, there is evidence of debt bias—the tendency of debt to increase over the cycle— that is significantly larger for house price cycles than stand-alone business cycles. Automatic stabilizers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418037
Laws governing the foreclosure process can have direct consequences on the costs of foreclosure and could therefore … it exploits an exogenous cutoff in loan eligibility to GSE guarantees which shift the burden of foreclosure costs onto … nonbinary measures of judicial requirements, illustrate the consequences of foreclosure laws on the supply of mortgage credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411768